Currency pair AUD USD - forecast, trading features, trading secrets in the Forex market. How the Australian dollar is traded on Forex Factors influencing the AUDUSD exchange rate and what quotes depend on

Australian dollar to US dollar exchange rate (AUD/USD)- is one of the most popular currency pairs on Forex, although it is inferior in terms of trading volume to some other quotes in which the US dollar is present. However, I consider AUD/USD to be one of the best picks for beginners who do not want to trade on low-volatility pairs and want to earn a decent amount already in the first stages. This pair can also be used by professionals who prefer moderately intense trading. You can work on the quote both short-term and long-term. The AUD/USD chart increases when the Australian dollar increases or the US dollar decreases, and also decreases when the AUD falls or the US dollar rises.

Specifications quotes!

Best Strategies for the Australian Dollar to US Dollar (AUD/USD) Currency Pair

  1. The strategy shows itself perfectly on this chart. It is based on non-indicator methods of analysis using the so-called graphical patterns. Patterns often appear during a trend change in many quotes, including AUD/USD. Especially often you can observe a Pin bar, trading on which is discussed in detail in the main article on the strategy, a link to which is offered at the beginning of the paragraph. TS "Price Action" can be used by both professionals and beginners, because its rules are incredibly simple and understandable to everyone. If problems with understanding still arise, you can use not all the patterns described in the rules, but only one of them. For professionals, on the contrary, it is recommended to add other graphic models described in the article to your arsenal. Average vehicle per general rules brings up to 110% of the initial deposit per month, however, on the Australian dollar to US dollar AUD/USD pair, this figure is slightly higher, because the quote volatility is above average.
  1. For professionals who want to earn up to 200% per month, I recommend using a non-indicator strategy. Beginners may have problems understanding some of the rules, but there were cases in my practice when even a novice trader traded on Sniper for profit. If you are not confident in your abilities, you can use a simplified version of this vehicle for beginners called. I warn you right away, work on the "Sniper" will take a lot of time - about 4-5 hours a day, and sometimes more. Also, some traders have psychological problems, they constantly want to break the rules of the TS or forget about StopLoss. Over time, you will learn to cope with all this, but in the early stages it can be difficult.
  1. Option for beginners -. In order to receive your 60-70% per month, you need to follow the readings of two indicators of the same name. In terms of accuracy and profitability, this strategy is an order of magnitude inferior to the previous ones, but it is simple and understandable to absolutely everyone. In addition, the algorithm is profitable, provided that you follow the instructions in the step-by-step instructions, the link to which is offered at the beginning of the paragraph.
  1. You can try your hand not on Forex, but on the stock exchange binary options. The latter is considered an order of magnitude simpler than the currency exchange, because you need to perform only one action - to open a position. StopLosses and TakeProfits do not need to be set, but to earn money, it is necessary that the chart move at least 1 point. As for the pair Australian dollar against the US dollar (AUD / USD), it is recommended to use when trading options. Using this algorithm, you can predict a trend change with high accuracy, as well as make money on corrections from the old trend. The rules are pretty simple step-by-step instruction consists of only 4 steps.

Key features of the AUD/USD currency pair:

  1. The currency is active during the Pacific and American trading sessions, the rest of the time the volatility is much lower. Thus, you need to trade scalping methods either early in the morning or in the evening, starting from 16:00 Moscow time. As for long-term traders, they need to analyze the chart during a lull so as not to be distracted by strong movements.

  1. The volatility of the currency pair is slightly above average, which immediately provides a number of advantages for traders. Firstly, here you can earn an order of magnitude more than on the same euro-dollar or on low-value quotes, such as the pound-dollar. Secondly, the chart remains stable and predictable, here you will not find sharp impulses in different directions or erratic fluctuations, as happens on high-volatility currency pairs such as the dollar-yen. Thus, it is comfortable to work here for both beginners and professionals.
  1. Particular attention should be paid to the influence of gold on the quote rate. The fact is that the more gold is valued, the higher the rate of the Australian dollar, and the lower the price of the US dollar. Thus, during the growth or fall of the yellow metal, there are strong but predictable impulses on the chart of the Australian dollar against the US dollar (AUD / USD), because. currencies go in completely different directions. Any trader trading this pair, even if he uses technical analysis, needs to watch the dynamics of gold prices. If this metal unexpectedly increased in value, you should immediately buy a quote, and if this price drops, sell it.
  1. Natural disasters often occur in the United States and Australia, which negatively affect the economy and, as a result, cause currency devaluation. So, for Australia, the nature of frequent floods and hurricanes, and for the United States - earthquakes, floods and forest fires. You need to follow the news, and if you hear that another natural riot has recently happened in one of these countries, destroying infrastructure or causing other damage, you should open a position against national currency this country. For example, if a flood occurs in Australia and floods coastal settlements, you need to sell the quote and keep the position open for about a couple of weeks. After this time, it is necessary to close the order, because the reaction to natural phenomena, as a rule, is short-term, the state quickly restores all the destroyed buildings.
  1. AUD/USD and NZD/USD charts literally copy each other. This can be used in two ways:
  • If you doubt the signal that your strategy gave, refer to the help of the second chart. The signal on it will be confirmed - feel free to open a position, and if not, it is better to refrain from entering. In the case of these two quotes, this principle only works during the American trading session, when all movements occur under the influence of the US dollar.
  • You can also trade ahead of the curve. If during the American session there was a strong movement on the AUD/USD chart, but there was no such movement on the NZD/USD quote, then it is likely to appear soon, and we should open a position in the direction of the first chart. Such situations happen quite rarely, so I do not recommend doing this principle as the only trading strategy. Nevertheless, if you notice such a situation, you can earn a decent amount, because the accuracy of the signals is incredibly high.

To the end!

Thus, the Australian dollar against the US dollar (AUD / USD) is perfect for both beginners and professionals, both for technical analysis and for fundamental. You can earn here much more than on most other currency pairs, but you should work carefully, follow all the rules of the strategy and do not forget about Stop Losses.

Now I will give a small forecast for the future. At the moment, on the monthly chart of the AUD/USD quote, the price has given a good sell signal, which promises a considerable profit for all long-term traders. Recently, the chart broke through a strong support level of 0.8, after which it fixed on it and went down. This indicates that in the long term, the quote rate will decline and, most likely, will reach the level of an absolute minimum. StopLoss for a sell trade should be placed beyond the broken support level, at around 0.82, and TakeProfit should be placed at the absolute minimum of the quote (0.47). Hold the position open for at least 6 months.

All success and great profit!

Sincerely yours, Victor Samoilov!

The Australian dollar/US dollar currency pair, otherwise known as the kangaroo, is a rather exotic instrument for trading on currency exchange forex.

It is the most suitable option for beginner traders. Movement on it is more relaxed, unlike other popular pairs.

Trade high only with a leading broker

AUD USD quote

This pair consists of two currencies Australian and US dollar, the Australian dollar acts as the base currency of the quote, and the US dollar shows its value in US currency.

The Australian dollar is the so-called agricultural currency, its exchange rate is mainly affected by changes in prices for agricultural products, their increase leads to an increase in the exchange rate of this currency unit and vice versa.

The second component of this currency pair is the American dollar, its exchange rate is influenced by a huge number of factors, both external and internal, they have already been mentioned more than once in other articles, so we will dwell on them more briefly.

The USD exchange rate is influenced by - events within the country (changes in the discount rate, unemployment, economic situation), external factors - statements by the leaders of world powers, actions of national banks and corporations.

Trading on the pair Australian dollar / US dollar.

AUD/USD is a great tool for training a novice trader, the news strategy works especially effectively here, you just need to mark the necessary events in the economic calendar, and then wait for the news to be released in the window trading terminal or on certain websites. Besides

Australia is a country with unstable weather conditions, so it will not be superfluous to pay attention to the upcoming natural disasters, as a rule, such forecasts also cause the price to drop.

The trading time on this pair has its own characteristics, if you prefer a calmer trend, then choose to trade from 9 am to 4 pm Moscow time, if you are a risky player, then trade on the Australian trading session from 1 am to 9 am Moscow. It is during this session that the greatest movement of the trend is noted and the maximum turnover is made in the Australian dollar.

The dynamics of the rate change and the direction of the trend for this currency pair can be seen on

The Australian Dollar against the Swiss Franc is not the most popular Forex cross pair, however, it is not exotic either, as it has many fans around the world.

AUD CHF forecast (online) for today

The forecast for today is based on technical analysis for four time periods of the chart. If we talk about fundamental analysis, then the inertia of the Swiss franc greatly simplifies forecasting, allowing you to spend less time on asset research.

The dependence of the Australian currency on the prices of precious metals and raw materials is also more likely to help in forecasting. In addition, the course of this pair, like most others in which the franc is involved, is great for trading strategies based on technical analysis and news.

AUD CHF rate (online) on the Chart with indicators

By the beginning of 2008, the dynamics had changed and throughout the following year ( despite deep adjustment) went under the sign of the bears, which pulled the pair down by 0.73. However, they did not have enough strength for a long time, and already in February 2009, the bulls quickly began to win back their positions. For more than a year, the pair grew without significant corrections, but by May 2010, there was no more strength left to continue the rise, and AUDCHF stalled for two years without a visible long-term focus.

In the middle of 2012, things got off the ground in the direction of falling, and quotes with periodic corrections went to update all-time lows, which was achieved in the second half of 2015, when the pair reached strong resistance at 0.68, nevertheless touching the shadows candles even 0.6533. Since then, as the analysis shows, the Aussie/Frank stopped its further downward movement and slowly began to rise, reaching the level of 0.76-0.77 francs by March 2017. AUD.

general characteristics

The Australian Dollar against the Swiss Franc is a Forex cross instrument, in which the underlying asset is AUD, and the convertible asset is CHF. The cross rate assumes the direct absence of the US dollar in the currency pair, but this does not exclude the indirect influence of the USD, since the operations to exchange one currency for another and vice versa still take place through the dollar. On the charts, the exchange rate is displayed either in four-digit form (0.7710) or in five-digit form, if tick fluctuations (0.77105) are taken into account.

The average volatility of 70-100 points per day, which takes place today, with not the highest spread of 5-6 points, allows scalping at some points, but you should not count on large profits from short-term trading.

Looking at the data on the volatility of the currency pair over the past 20 weeks, we can say that Wednesday is usually the busiest day of the week, followed by Thursday and Friday, Monday and, especially Tuesday, do not favor traders with great activity. Inside the day, oddly enough, but some activity is shown at the opening of Hong Kong and Singapore in the Asian session, however, the peak of trading falls on the opening of stock exchanges in Europe ( especially in Switzerland at 07:00 GMT), and then, not dropping at the intersection with the American trading session until 16:00 GMT, the rest of the time the pair "sleeps", breaking no more than 8-12 points per hour.

For a detailed assessment of the long-term behavior of the pair on large timeframes, there is no particular need to go deep into history, and it will be quite enough to confine ourselves to information about the dynamics fromearly 2000s. So, since the end of 2001, the AUD/CHF has been moving smoothly along the upward channel, reaching a maximum value of about 1.08 Swiss francs for 1 AUD at the peak of the trend at the end of 2007.

Factors influencing AUDCHF and what the course depends on

Australia is a continent-state, rich in resources and territory, which has created a powerful developed economy. Despite the fact that the industry has already given way to services and trade, it still plays a crucial role for Australia, and the AUD is still considered a commodity currency.

A detailed analysis of the structure of the Australian economy will give such data:

  • 71% of Australian GDP comes from services;
  • about 26% - for the mining and manufacturing industries;
  • only 3% of GDP remains for agriculture, which is quite common for a developed capitalist country.

In contrast to the vast Australia, Switzerland is a small neutral state in Western Europe surrounded on all sides by the European Union. Despite its small size, the country has one of the most stable economies in the world. It is also difficult to reproach Switzerland for poor development. High-tech industry, world-famous banks and efficient agriculture are the main foundations of the current system.

The sector-by-sector study presents the following results:

  • about 73.4% is provided by the service sector;
  • Industry provides 25.9% of GDP;
  • behind agriculture only 0.7% of GDP.

When analyzing a currency pair for correlation with other financial instruments, a strong relationship with many stock indices and precious metals immediately catches the eye. This is due to the CHF's former adherence to the gold standard and huge international investment in the franc and the Swiss economy as a whole, as well as the commodity orientation of the AUD. Thus, the chart of the pair has the best correspondence with: gold against the euro - 85.4%, the HK50 index - 82.6%, gold against the dollar - 79.6%, US2000 - 79.6%, silver against the euro - 79.5% , US500 indices - 79.2%, US30 - 77.4%, NAS100 - 77.2%, AUD/USD - 77%.

The inverse correlation is also present today to a large extent with: EUR / AUD - -96.3%, Euro / Liroy - -90.6%, Dollar / Ruble - -89%, Euro / Random - -88.6, Dollar / Liroy - -86%, XNG/USD - -83.2%, Dollar/Random - -80.9%, EUR/SGD - -79.6%, Pound against Lira - -77.9% and Dollar/Baht - -71.2%.

Since the Swiss economy is much less subject to changes, the main focus in making forecasts should be given to Australia, especially since the AUD provides up to 80-90% of volatility in the pair. Thus, among the most important factors influencing the AUD against CHF exchange rate, we must first name:

  • gold prices (very important for both countries);
  • world prices for raw materials;
  • trade balances of both countries;
  • economic indicators (primarily for Australia, but also for Switzerland, the US and New Zealand);
  • global political and economic crises(in case of increased instability, the franc, as a rule, rises in price);
  • the volume of international investment in the Swiss economy;
  • weather and climatic conditions (for both countries).

What is the best way to trade the Australian dollar and the Swiss franc

Let's look at an example of real trading and earning on the AUD/CHF currency pair. For trading, we chose options, and not by chance, because there are no spreads, and the profit on transactions is fixed.

We have chosen an asset:

Now you need to specify the closing time of the transaction, we indicated on 5 minutes:

It remains only to decide whether the AUD CHF quote will be higher or lower in 5 minutes, our forecast shows a fall in the rate, and we pressed the button DOWN:

If after 5 minutes the quote is lower than at the opening of the transaction, we will receive 70% profit, because our DOWN condition will be fulfilled.

Please note that it does not matter how much the price drops, at least by one pip, it is important that it be lower. This is the main difference between options and Forex.

5 minutes passed, the price fell a little, as we planned, and made a profit:

The broker we work with is called Regulated CROFR and, in general, compares favorably with good profit percentages and a very convenient platform with a wide variety of option terms.

Features of the currency pair

It is still possible to receive income from the AUD/CHF carry trade strategy, since the difference in refinancing rates is quite large (1.50% for the Reserve Bank of Australia and -0.75% for the Central Bank of Switzerland), however, in order to take advantage of this to fully, you need the presence of a strong uptrend.

In the current situation, the profit will be quite modest, since the size of the swaps today are within +0.58 pips for purchases and -1.3 for sales.

The Australian economy is closely linked to New Zealand, and both of their currencies, considered commodity, usually move in the same direction almost simultaneously, but sometimes, for one reason or another, one of them pulls ahead withslightly ahead, acting as an indicator of future changes for the other. This happens infrequently, but an attentive trader who notices such an event gets the opportunity to make good money.

Due to its features, the pair is perfect for both inexperienced and already accustomed traders. Low volatility will not allow you to earn much on scalping, however, the size of the spread and periodic strong fluctuations make it quite acceptable from time to time.

However, the most profitable strategies on this instrument relate to trading on medium and long-term timeframes, allowing you to earn up to 95-100% of the deposit size.

If you find an error, please highlight a piece of text and click Ctrl+Enter! Thank you so much for your help, it is very important for us and our readers!

Hello fellow traders!

We continue the series of articles on fundamental analysis, namely, on the description of the features of trading in various currency instruments, and today we will talk in detail about the AUD/USD currency pair, which attracts the attention of market participants with its stability.

What exactly we will analyze below:

  1. AUD/USD - what is this currency pair and what are the reasons for its attractiveness for traders?
  2. The main characteristics of the AUD/USD pair. What important news should you pay attention to when trading this pair?
  3. Useful information about the AUD/USD currency pair that a trader should take into account when trading.

The AUD/USD currency pair, also known as "Aussie" and "Aussie", is a popular trading tool not only for professionals earning on, but also among beginners for whom calm trend trading in the absence of sufficient experience in technical and fundamental analysis will the best option avoid losses and get a stable profit.

This currency instrument consists of two highly liquid currencies and . The base currency is the Australian dollar, respectively the quoted currency is the US dollar. Trading volumes average 6% of the intraday volume of the Forex market, which classifies it as a major or "major".

The AUD/USD currency pair is attractive for Forex trading for the following reasons:

  • Australia has a unique geographical position and stable for many years political system not prone to drastic changes and state regulation of the economy, therefore the Australian dollar is considered the second reserve currency of the Asian and Pacific regions after the yen.
  • Within 10 years central bank Australia maintains a high rate, which provides an opportunity for long-term investments and deposits, as well as for profit from transactions.
  • Australia's main export earnings come from gold and silver, so the pair is considered the most commodity in the Asian region and has a good correlation with the gold chart and to a lesser extent with silver. This makes it possible to use it as an additional hedging tool for opening deals in other currency instruments.
  • The movement of the AUD/USD instrument also directly depends on the price of futures for copper and iron ore. they, in addition to gold and silver, also occupy a significant part of exports. Futures are most actively traded on the Shanghai Exchange from 04:00 to 08:00 GMT, and if their prices decrease, this causes AUD/USD to fall. Accordingly, an increase in the cost of futures leads to an increase in the pair.
  • In addition to precious metals and other commodities, a significant part of the Australian sector is the agricultural sector, which makes the pair additionally agricultural, and therefore dependent on natural factors.
  • The AUD/USD currency pair belongs to the group of calm ones, and any speculative or fundamental fluctuations do not last long and there is a quick return to a calm trend movement, which allows you to work with medium and long-term transactions with small current drawdowns.

The average intraday volatility of the AUD/USD pair is about 60 points, but on fundamental news it can increase to 100-150 points, which makes it possible to get a good profit from intraday transactions and. But you need to pay attention to the value - for some brokers it can expand to 5-7 points during periods of high market activity, which will be a problem for small deposits.

During the trading day, the AUD/USD currency instrument has two periods of activity. During the European trading session, the pair is trending with slight price corrections, but in the American and Asian sessions, volatility and market volumes increase significantly. Most activity occurs between 02:00 and 08:00 GMT, when the Australian News is processed, usually at 02:30 and 04:30 GMT.

The AUD/USD pair gives a stable profit on the release of fundamental news, of which three main groups can be distinguished:

  1. Central Bank of Australia: size interest rate, inflation rate, probability, etc.
  2. Economic statistics. The most important are the level of consumer sentiment, which affects the service sector, which occupies a large share in the Australian economy and the volume of GDP. The reaction goes not only to the Australian news, but also to the US news. Over the past two years, the pair's dependence on the economic statistics of China, as one of the main consumers of exports, has greatly increased: with negative statistics, there is an active fall in quotations, with positive statistics, respectively, growth.
  3. weather factors. As mentioned above, a large segment of the Australian economy, in addition to the export of raw materials, is occupied by the agricultural sector, therefore, natural phenomena such as floods, droughts and other disasters have a direct impact on the quotes of this financial instrument, regardless of export industries. Usually, the fall does not last long and provides good opportunities for profit from short (SELL) trades.

The AUD/USD currency pair gives a clear and understandable chart that lends itself well to technical analysis, which is well suited for beginners. Despite periodic fairly deep corrections, it quickly returns to the original movement with easily determined price highs and lows, is held for a long time and makes it possible to trade on a rebound. Graphic patterns such as the triangle, and especially the head-and-shoulders figure, in most cases are worked out according to the rules of candlestick analysis. The formation of a "triangle" is almost always talking about in the near future.

The AUD/USD price chart gives a good direct correlation with the movement of EUR/USD and GBP/USD, at the moment it is weak, but still correlates with USD/JPY. The movement is always a little late in relation to other pairs, which allows it to be used as a leading indicator for opening deals on the Aussie. Read more about the correlation of currency pairs in the Forex market in the article.

Here is some more useful information on the AUD/USD pair, which will be very useful for fans of this instrument:

  • Like all pairs with a direct quote, it has an inverse correlation with the USDX dollar index.
  • During the European and Asian sessions, Forex usually follows the EUR/USD and the S&P500 index.
  • Inverse correlation with stock indices in Asia: Hang Seng, Nikkei 225, SET50, SET100 and SSE Composite.
  • At the level of 0.7 there is a strong fundamental resistance level. The Bank of Australia has been trying to fix the quote below this value for more than two years, but the market does not allow this all the time.

So, fellow traders, let's summarize. The AUD/USD currency pair lends itself well to technical analysis, but fundamental events are still the main ones. Negative data causes significant price surges, which quickly return to their original values. Such movements can be neglected in trending medium and long-term transactions, but for small deposits they can create big problems.

But in general, the AUD / USD pair, due to a combination of long-term trends and intraday fluctuations, provides an opportunity for stable earnings for all traders - from scalping to long-term investments. I would classify this tool as more “obedient”, that is, which are amenable to graphical analysis, and where the received signals are perfectly processed.

What can you say about AUDUSD? Do you have experience trading on it? How predictable is this tool and is it suitable for novice traders? I would be grateful if you share your thoughts or practical skills on working with this currency pair in the comments.

That's all for today, I hope the information on the AUD/USD pair was useful for you, so don't forget follow the updates that do not miss further selected materials of the heading of fundamental analysis.

Sincerely, Alexander Siver

In our section AUD USD Australian dollar exchange rate forecast we offer traders an up-to-date AUD/USD trading forecast, a kind of analysis and forecast of the Canadian dollar exchange rate for today as part of an analysis of the current situation on the FOREX market using simple tools. The AUD/USD forecast section is updated every day.

Australian dollar to US dollar pair

The AUD/USD currency pair represents the value of the Australian dollar, expressed through the value of the US dollar on FOREX. The aud usd pair is popular and is of interest among traders and analysts around the world due to its technique, it is considered a commodity currency pair, among traders it is called "Kangaroo".

AUD/USD technical analysis

As part of the Australian dollar exchange rate forecast, we offer a daily free technical analysis AUD/USD on FOREX. The simplest technical analysis tools are used here: trend lines, graphical models, as well as modern approaches in the form of patterns, due to this we get a high-quality technical analysis of the AUD/USD.

FOREX forecast AUD/USD for today

As part of the publication of AUD/USD forecasts, we also offer traders trading recommendations and signals for the Australian dollar pair from the experts of our portal, if you constantly follow the updates of the FOREX AUD/USD forecast for today section, you have already noticed that movements often occur immediately after publication forecasts for the AUD/USD pair.

Forex forecast AUD/USD for tomorrow

Thanks to the analysis of the four-hour chart of the Australian dollar against the US dollar, we make a forecast of the AUD / USD exchange rate for tomorrow, which is also relevant at this point in time. As a rule, the AUD/USD Forex forecast for tomorrow is published in the afternoon, taking into account the morning trading session and right before the most aggressive American one.

AUD/USD weekly forecast

Reviews of the Australian dollar against the US dollar for the week are published on Friday towards the end of the trading week. As a rule, daily AUD/USD chart, which is able to reflect medium-term trends and due to the analysis of which the traders of our portal make a weekly forecast of AUD/USD.